[This essay first appeared in Icelandic in Morgunblaðið on February 17, 2026. Though it speaks of Iceland, its theme is universal: a meditation on thinking, and on the consequences of neglecting disciplined attention to evidence.]
As a young man, I read an essay by Bertrand Russell urging the habit of forming opinions on the basis of evidence and holding them lightly, ready to revise when new facts appear. This discipline, he wrote, guards against our baser impulses: prejudice, dogma, and confirmation bias.
We are often told that Iceland ranks among the world’s smartest nations. I have yet to see convincing evidence for that. Human stupidity is evenly distributed across the globe. I write about Iceland nonetheless because I live here, observe it closely, and care about its trajectory.
Five minutes of scrolling on the X app uncovers a farrago of nonsense from full-grown adults. Icelandic children, already lagging in basic reading skills, are surrounded by adults advertising their own mental shortcomings. It is fair to ask what chance the young have in such company.
Never as now have the means of acquiring knowledge lain in every hand, and never as now has that same hand so explosively paraded staggering imbecility before the world.
Half in jest, I have suggested a course titled The Art of Not Becoming an Idiot drawing on social-media trawls, which reliably turn up fresh examples of cognitive incompetence from people old enough to vote.
The dross encountered online falls into familiar classes: anecdotal fallacies, hasty generalisations, false equivalence, category errors, statistical illiteracy, confirmation bias, and lazy analogy.
Consider a few fallacies not uncommon in Iceland, though hardly unique to it.
The moon-landing hoax keeps resurfacing. So does the reheated rubbish surrounding 9/11: inside job, an “Israeli plot,” controlled demolition. All belong to the same species of crank thinking: conspiratorial dot-connecting. Any fool can pose wild questions about an established account. The laziest move is to ask, “Could this have happened?” and mistake suspicion for insight. Another favourite line of the charlatans is “They lied to you.” Adults wallowing in such balderdash are not fit to be near children.
The mark of intelligence is knowing which questions matter and what the evidence can support. Idle speculation is cheap; clear thinking demands work.
This dot-chasing often slides into the darker territory of antisemitism, now evident in Iceland. Its practitioners hide behind words like “Mossad” or “Zionists.” To credit a single intelligence service with orchestrating revolutions, wars, financial crashes, assassinations, technological breakthroughs, and global politics is to ascribe to it a reach no organisation in history has possessed. It also requires believing that the rest of the non-Jewish world consists of perpetual chumps endlessly outwitted by one small country’s operatives.
Idiocy peaks in fields that actually require expertise. Nowhere are halfwits more animated than in matters of health. Such knowledge as they possess is assembled from social media and online poseurs. Their understanding of the subject and the force of their opinions move in opposite directions. The link between smoking and lung cancer is settled science. Yet someone always pipes up: “My aunt smoked five packs a day and lived to ninety,” a textbook anecdotal fallacy.
The same fog clouds debates about Covid vaccines. Reams of misinformation lead to blanket claims of mass deaths. When examined, the evidence reverses the story. Vaccination saved lives, especially among the vulnerable. Outlier deaths remained within the normal margins seen with all vaccines. One may criticise overbearing mandates and pandemic response, but the data on the vaccines themselves tell a different story.
An identical haze infects discussions of climate change. People who have never touched a scientific paper or seen (much less solved) a basic equation emit strident opinions aligned with politics, not a grasp of the subject.
All of this yields a trove of teaching material. True education centres on honing the mind. It’s not about supplying answers, but developing the habit of weighing evidence and deliberately testing one’s views against counterexamples and rival explanations before arriving at a conclusion.
Adult folly isn’t always benign. Beyond the classroom, unbridled stupidity exacts a steep price, sometimes with civilisational consequences. In 2000, Iceland’s population stood at roughly 280,000, with immigrants forming less than five percent. Today, around twenty-five percent of residents are foreign-origin, many from cultures and a religion hostile to Icelandic values. A demographic disaster is unfolding in plain sight. Did no one in 2000 grasp basic arithmetic to ask the obvious question: given the tiny baseline, how many immigrants can a small nation absorb before its historic identity is transformed beyond recognition?
If The Art of Not Becoming an Idiot had been taught before 2000, we might have averted this mess. Whether it can still be reversed depends on how quickly clear thinking replaces delusion.
– Rajan Parrikar, Feb 2026










